Science / Temperatures / January 15, 2020
Temperature Hubris
Source: gtd
This is perhaps too large a topic for one blog post. I have just finished reading dozens of articles on this topic. Even after correcting for possible motive/bias issues, and after weeding out ad hominems, I am left with the following conclusions:
- The temperature dataset from 1850-1906 or so covers less than 50% of the globe.
- The Southern hemisphere data coverage reached 50% only in 1950.
- Global averages for a century were created by combining the sparse Northern hemisphere averages with the almost non-existent Southern hemisphere averages1
- Making any claim about current global temperature trends compared to the past is rendered meaningless.
- In 1987 NOAA commissioned a study. It showed no warming trend in the U.S. from 1895-19872
- It is perfectly safe to say that the earth has been warming since the end of the last ice age.
- It is not perfectly safe to say that the last century contains a signature to prove accelerated temperature rises are occurring, or that they are anthropogenic.
- It is not safe to conclude that CO2 at .0415% of the atmosphere is significant of anything.
- It is not safe to conclude that CO2's correllation with temperature is consistent historically, or predictive.
- It is also not safe to say that any climate model can possibly handle the complexity of forecasting future global temperature averages based on CO2 levels.